Title

Swing States, the Winner-Take-all Electoral College, and Fiscal Federalism

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

3-1-2017

Publication Title

Atlantic Economic Journal

Volume

45

First Page

45

Last Page

57

Keywords

Electoral College, Fiscal federalism, Intergovernmental grants, Swing voters

Abstract

© 2017, International Atlantic Economic Society. The impact of the Electoral College on U.S. presidential elections is often criticized by academics and political commentators. One facet of its impact, the winner-take-all allocation of states’ Electoral College votes, serves in practice to overweight some votes in some states relative to other votes in other states. These disparities in the relative impact of votes in a presidential election can be large. Here, a metric is introduced to quantify the magnitude of these disparities in each presidential election. Using that metric, we show that states whose votes were overweighted in a presidential election subsequently received higher levels of federal grant spending under the newly-elected (re-elected) administration.

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