Title

A simulation model for estimating human error probability

Document Type

Conference Proceeding

Publication Date

1-1-2019

Publication Title

31st European Modeling and Simulation Symposium, EMSS 2019

First Page

262

Last Page

267

Keywords

Human Error, Modeling, Simulation, System Dynamics

Abstract

© 2019 Dime Universita di Genova, DIMEG University of Calabria. This paper describes the system dynamics architecture of a simulation model which estimates human error probability for humans performing certain tasks in a given scenario. Human error probability is estimated as a function of the type of tasks performed and the number of performance shaping factors. In this work, the Standardized Plant Analysis Risk-Human (SPAR-H) reliability analysis method is utilized for estimating the probability of human error. The system dynamics simulation model captures the cause and effect relationships of the SPAR-H defined performance shaping factors that affect human error and uses them to assess the overall human error probability of the system. The present work is a continuation of our previous work on task analysis, workload and human reliability assessment simulation and aims to evaluate the system dynamics simulation as a potential approach to assess human reliability.

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